Good morning, Everydayers. It’s Friday, and Georgia is tomorrow night. Ole Miss legend Todd Wade leads today: he calls Saturday the biggest game of his lifetime, and his full conversation premieres at 5 p.m. ET. Then today’s LOOM Flagship, Steven’s case for why Ole Miss beats Georgia, with the keys, the players to watch, the number and his final score.
🏈 Legend Speaks: Todd Wade
Ole Miss legend Todd Wade joined Locked On Ole Miss the day before Georgia, and he didn’t hedge on the stakes: “I can’t think of a bigger game in my lifetime.” He says it’s bigger than LSU, and a win would be “a program changer.”
His key is Trinidad Chambliss’s legs. Wade liked that Ole Miss drew up runs for Chambliss against Auburn instead of waiting on scrambles, and he wants more Saturday: “For us to win this game, he needs to be able to run the ball.” He likes what he sees up front, too, a line that’s “playing lower” with “less chop, more drive,” and he wants Ole Miss up or tied at the half.
His pick for Saturday, and his alone: Ole Miss 27-24.
What we couldn’t confirm: Wade’s and the show’s comments on Georgia’s defensive ranking and on Georgia’s other games this season aren’t reporting, so they’re not in this newsletter.
Watch the full Todd Wade conversation, premiering today at 5 p.m. ET.
☕ Morning Coffee
“Trinidad Chambliss is going to have his Heisman moment Saturday night.”
That’s how Steven opened today’s LOOM Flagship, the case for why Ole Miss beats Georgia. Three things from today’s show:
- Chambliss has the stage. “Trinidad Chambliss is going to have his Heisman moment Saturday night,” Steven said, and he means several special plays, not one. Chambliss has thrown a touchdown pass in 21 straight games; one more ties Chad Kelly’s program record of 22. Asked how you defend him, Kirby Smart’s first answer was “How long you got?” In the Sugar Bowl, Chambliss threw for more than 300 yards and two touchdowns as Ole Miss came back from nine down at the half.
- Win enough early downs. “Not every snap. Enough.” Georgia runs for 200.1 yards a game, and when it stays on schedule, Gunner Stockton completes 71.8 percent of his passes. But Ole Miss just held Auburn to 63 yards on 27 carries, with 10 tackles for loss and four sacks. Win first and second down, Steven said, and third-and-seven in a full Vaught-Hemingway is a different game.
- The cleaner game, and the number. Reason three is turnovers, penalties and tackling: no free yards, no extra possessions. As of Thursday morning on FanDuel, Georgia is a 3.5-point favorite with 64 percent of the spread bets but only half the money. The LOOM Model has Georgia by 0.1. Steven’s final score, and his alone: Ole Miss 27, Georgia 21.
📰 New On The Hub
Georgia Will Put A Spy On Trinidad Chambliss, And Ole Miss Already Knows What That Costs. Why a spy is a trade, not an answer.
Locked On Ole Miss Show Recap: Wednesday, November 4. Catch up on the Golding and Bill Flowers episodes.
The Full Georgia Game Week Preview and the LOOM SEC Power Ratings.
🏈 The Numbers
- 1: day to Georgia
- 21: straight games with a touchdown pass for Trinidad Chambliss. One more ties Chad Kelly’s program record of 22
- 16: straight wins at Vaught-Hemingway. A 17th would be a new program record
- 0.63: sacks allowed per game by Ole Miss, the fewest in the SEC
- 30 of 31: Ole Miss red zone trips that ended in points
- 200.1: Georgia rushing yards per game
- 63: rushing yards Auburn managed on 27 carries last Saturday
🎤 What They Said
I can’t think of a bigger game in my lifetime.
Todd Wade, Ole Miss legend
Trinidad Chambliss is going to have his Heisman moment Saturday night.
Steven Willis, on today’s LOOM Flagship
Whoever wins the play-action game is probably winning on Saturday night.
Steven Willis
How long you got?
Kirby Smart, asked how you defend Trinidad Chambliss
🏥 Injury Watch
| Player | Status |
|---|---|
| Kewan Lacy, RB | Not expected vs. Georgia. Golding: “We’re not expecting to have him this week.” |
| Luke Ferrelli, LB | Ankle. Started vs. Auburn but “didn’t feel like he was at 100%.” |
| Jalyn Crawford, CB | Shoulder. Played four snaps vs. Auburn. |
📈 The Line, The LOOM Model And The Picks
As of Thursday morning on FanDuel: Georgia -3.5 (-110 both ways), Georgia -170 and Ole Miss +142 on the moneyline, total 56.5. Lines move, so check FanDuel for the current number.
The LOOM Model has it closer: Georgia by 0.1, a coin flip. Full LOOM SEC Power Ratings.
This week’s picks, by name: Steven, Ole Miss 27-21. Bill Flowers, Ole Miss 27-21. Todd Wade, Ole Miss 27-24. John Fourcade likes Ole Miss. Corey Burton, Georgia 34-31.
🔮 Tomorrow: Georgia
| Matchup | CFP No. 2 Georgia (7-1) at CFP No. 10 Ole Miss (6-2, 4-2 SEC) |
| Kickoff | Saturday, Nov. 7 · 6:30 p.m. CT / 7:30 p.m. ET |
| Where | Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford |
| TV | ABC |
| Last meeting | Ole Miss 39, Georgia 34, Sugar Bowl |
A win would be the 17th straight at home, a new program record. Steven hosts a live watch-along on the Locked On Ole Miss YouTube channel during the game, with some of the SEC After Dark crew dropping in. Full preview.
🏀 Hoops: Beard Hosts Central Arkansas Tonight
Chris Beard’s team, 99-58 winners over Alcorn State in the opener with 26 forced turnovers, hosts Central Arkansas tonight at 7:30 p.m. CT at the Pavilion, the night before Georgia.
📻 This Week On Locked On Ole Miss
| Monday | LOOM Flagship: Ole Miss Showed How To Beat Georgia | Trinidad Chambliss Got Right |
| Tuesday | LOOM Flagship: Kirby Smart: Chambliss Is Probably The Best QB In The Country |
| Tuesday | John Fourcade: Chambliss Is The Better QB |
| Wednesday | LOOM Flagship: Pete Golding: Stop The Run Or It’s A Long Night |
| Wednesday | Bill Flowers: Chambliss Will Run More Than He Has All Year |
| Thursday | Ole Miss vs Georgia Is A 1980s Football Game, with Corey Burton |
| Today | LOOM Flagship: Why Ole Miss Beats Georgia | Chambliss Gets His Heisman Moment |
| Today, 5 p.m. ET | Todd Wade: Chambliss Has To Run For Ole Miss To Beat Georgia |
| On the Hub | The spy on Chambliss · Bill Flowers on Chambliss · Count the punts · Georgia preview |
🔗 Five Clicks
1. ESPN’s model calls Ole Miss Georgia’s most likely loss of the season (Yahoo Sports)
The matchup predictor gives Georgia a 55.5 percent edge Saturday, its closest margin of any game on the Bulldogs’ schedule.
2. Five Ole Miss players who could swing Saturday night (SI)
Chambliss, Jaylon Braxton, Suntarine Perkins, Caleb Cunningham and Lucas Carneiro, who kicked the go-ahead field goal in the Sugar Bowl.
3. Five keys to an Ole Miss upset of No. 2 Georgia (Hotty Toddy)
Can Chambliss keep running, which run defense shows up, and who wins the turnover battle.
4. A Georgia-side film study of every Chambliss snap this season (SI)
The verdict is still “elite,” and the warning is the eight interceptions. Worth reading to see how the other side sees him.
5. Georgia will put a spy on Chambliss, and Ole Miss already knows what that costs (OleMissHub)
Why a spy is a trade, not an answer, and where the middle of the field opens up behind him.
💬 Join the Everydayers
Steven and Bill have Ole Miss 27-21. Todd has 27-24. Corey has Georgia 34-31. What’s yours? Not the spread, the score. Post it in the LOOM Private Discord. It’s free to join, and the Georgia game thread is open in #game-day.
Everything else lives at olemisshub.com, and if you want the show ad-free plus the members-only room, take your fandom to the next level with the Everydayer Club.
One day to Georgia. Hotty Toddy. 🦈
