One day to Georgia, and every SEC team plays a conference game Saturday. Here is the whole board: FanDuel’s number for all eight games, next to what the LOOM Model projects, with the time each line was posted. Ole Miss first.
🏈 Georgia at Ole Miss
| Spread | Georgia -3.5 (-110) · Ole Miss +3.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | Georgia -170 · Ole Miss +142 |
| Total | 56.5 |
| The betting split | 64% of spread bets on Georgia, about half the money |
| LOOM Model | Georgia by 0.1 · Georgia 50% to win |
| Kickoff | Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET · ABC · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium |
Plus-142 means the market gives Ole Miss a little better than a 40 percent chance to win outright. The LOOM Model calls it a coin flip, the closest projection on the board: the 2.6-point rating gap between the teams is almost exactly what home field gives back. More people are betting Georgia; the bigger tickets are splitting the other way.
Ole Miss is going to win this game 27 to 21.
Steven Willis, on Friday’s LOOM Flagship
This week’s picks, by name: Steven, Ole Miss 27-21. Bill Flowers, Ole Miss 27-21. Todd Wade, Ole Miss 27-24. John Fourcade likes Ole Miss. Corey Burton, Georgia 34-31.
📈 The Whole SEC Board
| Game | Kickoff (ET) | FanDuel | Total | LOOM Model | Line posted (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas at Missouri | 12 p.m. · ESPN | Texas -2.5 (-122) · ML Texas -146, Mizzou +122 | 42.5 | Missouri by 3.0 (59%) | Wed. 2:41 p.m. |
| Texas A&M at South Carolina | 3 p.m. · ESPN | South Carolina -6.5 | 51.5 | South Carolina by 5.9 (68%) | Mon. 7:36 p.m. |
| Alabama at LSU | 3:30 p.m. · ABC | LSU -5.5 | 52.5 | LSU by 2.2 (57%) | Mon. 7:36 p.m. |
| Vanderbilt at Mississippi State | 4:15 p.m. | Mississippi State -2.5 (-122) · ML MSU -140, Vandy +118 | 48.5 | Mississippi State by 8.4 (74%) | Wed. 10:43 p.m. |
| Kentucky at Tennessee | 6:15 p.m. · ESPN | Tennessee -6.5 | 50.5 | Tennessee by 4.7 (64%) | Mon. 7:36 p.m. |
| Georgia at Ole Miss | 7:30 p.m. · ABC | Georgia -3.5 (-110) · ML UGA -170, OM +142 | 56.5 | Georgia by 0.1 (50%) | Thu. morning |
| Oklahoma at Florida | 7:45 p.m. · SEC Network | Florida -6.5 | 44.5 | Florida by 7.0 (70%) | Mon. 7:36 p.m. |
| Arkansas at Auburn | TBA | No FanDuel line found | — | Auburn by 8.8 (75%) | — |
🔍 Where The Model And The Market Disagree
- Texas at Missouri, the biggest gap on the board. FanDuel has Texas by 2.5 on the road; the LOOM Model has Missouri by 3.0. That is a 5.5-point disagreement about who is even favored. Both teams are 6-2. Texas has lost to Oklahoma and Florida; Missouri is coming off a 34-10 win at Arkansas.
- Vanderbilt at Mississippi State. FanDuel makes it a field goal, Mississippi State by 2.5. The model has the Bulldogs by 8.4, a 5.9-point gap. Vanderbilt is 0-5 in the SEC; Mississippi State has lost four straight since a 4-0 start.
- Alabama at LSU. FanDuel has LSU by 5.5; the model, which rates these two as the top two teams in the SEC, has LSU by 2.2. The two biggest names on the 3:30 window, and the model thinks it is closer than the market does.
- Georgia at Ole Miss. A 3.4-point gap: the market has Georgia by a field goal and change, and the model has it as the closest game on the board, a coin flip.
- Where they agree. Kentucky-Tennessee, Texas A&M-South Carolina and Oklahoma-Florida all land within two points of each other, model and market.
🎯 What It Means For Ole Miss
Ole Miss has a rooting interest in two other games. An LSU win over Alabama and a Missouri win over Texas would knock two of the SEC’s 6-2 teams to three losses. Steven put it plainly in his conversation with Todd Wade, premiering tonight at 5 p.m. ET: Ole Miss “probably needs LSU and Missouri to take care of business.” FanDuel has LSU favored and Missouri an underdog at home; the LOOM Model has both of them winning.
The full LOOM SEC Power Ratings · The Georgia game week preview · Why Ole Miss Beats Georgia, Friday’s LOOM Flagship
💬 Join the Everydayers
What’s your final score for Ole Miss and Georgia? Not the spread, the score. Post it in the LOOM Private Discord. It’s free to join, and the Georgia game thread is open in #game-day. Take your fandom to the next level with the Everydayer Club.
One day to Georgia. Hotty Toddy. 🦈
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