Good morning, Everydayers. It’s the Friday before Texas. Ole Miss has a scoring floor Texas hasn’t reached against a Power 4 team, the line hasn’t budged, and the front five is questionable in two spots. Today’s LOOM Flagship has why Ole Miss wins, three keys and the Vegas read.
☕ Morning Coffee
“Ole Miss’ worst day this year is 28 points. Texas hadn’t scored 25 against a Power 4 team this season. That is why Ole Miss will win.”
That’s Steven’s open on today’s LOOM Flagship, straight from the game notes. Three things from the show:
- The floor and the ceiling. Ole Miss has scored 41, 41, 32, 28, 52 and 31, per the school’s game notes. The 28 came in the loss at Florida. Texas has scored 24, 20, 24 and 24 against Power 4 teams. The run game has gone 63, 128, 196 and 257 yards in four SEC games.
- Three keys. Tempo first: Ole Miss snaps it every 23.5 seconds, eighth-fastest in the country. Then win first and second down: Texas has gone 8 of 36 on third down over its last three games, per the Texas notes. Blake Purchase leads Ole Miss with 6.5 tackles for loss and 3.5 sacks. Third is Kewan Lacy in the red zone, with 29 rushing touchdowns since the start of last season.
- The line up front. Terez Davis, Delano Townsend, Brycen Sanders and Patrick Kutas have started all six games, and Connor Howes the last five. Davis and Sanders are questionable and Kutas is probable, per HottyToddy.com, which sees “no reason to believe any of the three are in serious danger of missing the game.” Steven’s fallback: if one sits, Kutas has shown he can slide over and make the calls.
🏈 The Numbers
- 28: Ole Miss’s lowest point total this season, at Florida, per the school’s game notes
- 24: Texas’s most points against a Power 4 team this season, per the Texas notes
- 453: Ole Miss rushing yards on 73 carries over its last two games
- 8 of 36: Texas on third down over its last three games, per the Texas notes
- 20: points the Ole Miss defense has allowed in its last two games combined
🎤 What They Said
They’re doing a better job with their leverage. They’re getting more movement at the point of attack.
Ole Miss legend Todd Wade, on the Ole Miss offensive line
Steven, on how the game goes: “Ole Miss has to survive the first 20 minutes of this game and win the middle 8.” Texas led Oklahoma 17-7 at halftime and Florida 17-3 late in the first half, and lost both by three.
🏆 In the Polls
| Poll | Ole Miss |
|---|---|
| AP | No. 7 |
| Coaches | No. 7 |
Texas is No. 19 in the AP poll.
📈 The Line
Per FanDuel, as of Thursday morning, Oct. 22: Texas -3.5 (-106), Ole Miss +3.5 (-114). Moneyline: Ole Miss +134, Texas -162. Total: 54.5.
On Sunday morning, before the Colin Simmons news, FanDuel had Texas -3.5 and a total of 55.5. The spread is right where it was, and FanDuel showed 88% of the money and 86% of the bets on Ole Miss against the spread. Texas’s first availability report, per Hook’em Headlines, lists Simmons as doubtful and edge Richard Wesley as out.
The show reads the market. It does not make picks.
🔮 Next: at Texas
| Matchup | No. 7 Ole Miss (5-1, 3-1 SEC) at No. 19 Texas (4-2, 1-2 SEC) |
| Kickoff | Saturday, Oct. 24 · 6:30 p.m. CT / 7:30 p.m. ET |
| Where | DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin |
| TV | ABC |
Texas tomorrow. Eight days to Auburn. Headed to Austin? Leave early: F1 is in town too.
📻 This Week on Locked On Ole Miss
| Wednesday | LOOM Flagship: Chambliss without Simmons, Will Echoles and an over-talented Texas · Ole Miss legend Bill Flowers on Texas week |
| Thursday | LOOM Flagship crossover with Brad Kellner of Locked On Longhorns |
| Today | LOOM Flagship: why Ole Miss wins, three keys and the Vegas read · Ole Miss legend Todd Wade on the Ole Miss offensive line · Steven on Locked On College Football |
| Saturday | Game day with Kevin Rogers of Locked On Bets, handicapping the SEC slate |
| On the Hub | Texas has led by double digits in both of its losses · Patrick Kutas on Texas · Makhi Frazier after his first 100-yard SEC game |
🔗 Five Clicks
1. Ole Miss injury update before Texas (HottyToddy.com)
Terez Davis and Brycen Sanders are questionable, and Patrick Kutas is probable.
2. Ole Miss vs. Texas by the numbers (Rebel Walk)
Including 24 red-zone trips and 24 scores.
3. Texas’s first injury report (Hook’em Headlines)
Colin Simmons is doubtful, and edge Richard Wesley is out.
4. The Austin view of Ole Miss (Austin American-Statesman)
The hometown paper’s full preview, built around Arch Manning.
5. Chambliss vs. Manning preview (AtoZ Sports)
The quarterback matchup, side by side.
💬 Join the Everydayers
The Texas game thread is open in the LOOM Private Discord, free to join. Give us your final score: Ole Miss vs. Texas.
Everything else lives at olemisshub.com, and if you want the show ad-free plus the members-only room, take your fandom to the next level with the Everydayer Club.
Texas tomorrow. Hotty Toddy. 🦈
